Profitable cross-market specialist

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market bettor put a fresh $1.15k No bet into a very quiet geopolitics market, worth surfacing despite modest absolute size.
Total
$1,153
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$21,629
Analysis
- This bettor has won 69% of 319 resolved trades and is up $21.6k lifetime.
- The $1.15k No buy was over 5x the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- They have traded across 52 related markets and 41 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected May 20, 2026 at 10:18 PM