Proven bettor buying No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a strong 549-bet track record and is buying No in a quiet market at 90¢.
Total
$1,650
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$22,367
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $22,367 lifetime.
- The $1,650 buy is 150% of this market’s 24-hour volume, so it stands out in a quiet market.
- Entry at 90¢ implies a high-conviction view that a U.S. invasion is very unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 26, 2026 at 4:49 PM