Serial cross-market winner

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven 75% winner and serial cross-market trader made a large No bet in a thin political market despite the price later moving against them.
Total
$1,911
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$227,389
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $226K lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with $7.3M deployed across 146 markets.
- The $1.9K No buy was larger than recent daily volume, showing conviction in a thin market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 2:10 PM