Part of: Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,911.
Categories: Turkey, Geopolitics, Politics, erdogan
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market winner
A proven 75% winner and serial cross-market trader made a large No bet in a thin political market despite the price later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $226K lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with $7.3M deployed across 146 markets.
- The $1.9K No buy was larger than recent daily volume, showing conviction in a thin market.
$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x2f48...6f45 — Yes, $5,652
- 0x35bb...009b — No, $5,414 (75% win rate)
- 0x5267...880a — Yes, $910
- 0x48ec...8f36 — No, $675
- 0x4ac9...cf1a — No, $500 (70% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $400 (47% win rate)
- 0xca75...05a6 — No, $260
- 0xe154...0b7f — Yes, $214 (10% win rate)
- 0x21ff...0d71 — No, $200
- 0xe811...77e5 — Yes, $198
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US-Iran deal in late May
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Talks happen by June
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Iran deal lands late May
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Iran closes airspace late May
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Iran deal by June
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