Part of: Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,911.

Categories: Turkey, Geopolitics, Politics, erdogan

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market winner

A proven 75% winner and serial cross-market trader made a large No bet in a thin political market despite the price later moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $226K lifetime.
  • They are a serious cross-market trader, with $7.3M deployed across 146 markets.
  • The $1.9K No buy was larger than recent daily volume, showing conviction in a thin market.

$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2f48...6f45 Yes, $5,652
  2. 0x35bb...009b No, $5,414 (75% win rate)
  3. 0x5267...880a Yes, $910
  4. 0x48ec...8f36 No, $675
  5. 0x4ac9...cf1a No, $500 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $400 (47% win rate)
  7. 0xca75...05a6 No, $260
  8. 0xe154...0b7f Yes, $214 (10% win rate)
  9. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $200
  10. 0xe811...77e5 Yes, $198

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Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

30dÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$1,911 tracked1 signalTurkeyGeopoliticsPoliticserdogan
Yes
14¢
No
86¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
97¢
73¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?

1d ago

$1,911 on No at 80¢

80¢86¢6¢

Related Theses