Profitable bettor hits thin market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A profitable high-volume bettor put $2.8k on Yes in a very quiet US-Cuba diplomacy market, dwarfing recent volume despite the market drifting lower.
Total
$2,800
Trades
2
Win Rate
49%
Wallet P&L
+$115,861
Analysis
- This wallet is up about $116k lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved bets.
- The $2.8k Yes position was nearly 15x the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
- The bet is on a thin diplomacy market resolving in about a month, where informed timing may matter.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 68¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 9:26 PM