29-wallet NO cluster
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A very large 29-wallet cluster, including 11 linked wallets, collectively flipped into the same bearish view on a major geopolitics market, with several strong cross-market traders and some high-win-rate wallets behind the flow.
Total
$116,599
Trades
34
Analysis
- 29 wallets put $116.6k behind the same No view, including 11 wallets linked to the same funder.
- Several wallets in the group have strong histories, including one winning 94% across 61 related markets and another winning 82% across 3 related markets.
- Most of the size came from selling Yes around 83-90¢, which translates to buying No around 10-17¢ on a market where No is now 10¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 13¢
Detected April 3, 2026 at 8:10 PM