91% winner buying NO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No in a related Abraham Accords market despite only a modest cross-market signal.
Total
$1,204
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$20,223
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
- They are taking a cross-market view across 2 related Abraham Accords markets.
- The bet is 3x this market’s 24h volume, suggesting meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected May 30, 2026 at 10:44 AM