91% winner leaning No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Surfaced because a highly profitable 91% winner traded this market, though the near back-to-back sell and buy make it look more like tactical positioning than a clean new whale bet.
Total
$4,025
Trades
2
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$20,223
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.7K lifetime.
- The latest trade was a $2.0K buy of No at 86¢ in a quiet market.
- They briefly sold No at 87¢ just before buying back at 86¢, so this looks like tactical sharp positioning rather than a fresh all-in bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected May 30, 2026 at 6:41 PM