Profitable sharp flips to NO

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Profitable 79% winner with $28k lifetime P&L is making a fresh No bet after closing a prior Yes position on a liquid Colombian election market.
Total
$2,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$311,345
Analysis
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $28,060 lifetime.
- They previously closed a Yes position and are now buying No, signaling a view change.
- Entry at 25¢ implies they see a roughly 4x payout opportunity if Cepeda does not win the first round.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 25¢
Detected May 31, 2026 at 9:41 PM