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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is taking a small long-shot Yes position at 6¢ on a geopolitical market.

Total

$1,152

Trades

1

Win Rate

82%

Wallet P&L

+$835,890

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 6¢

GeopoliticsLebanonIran CeasefireIsraelIranIsrael x IranHezbollah
View all alerts for Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Detected June 3, 2026 at 9:36 PM

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