Smart Money SignalScore: 5.5

New repeat whale buying YES

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

A 28-day-old repeat large bettor is putting meaningful size into a relatively quiet geopolitical market, buying Yes at an effective average around 9.4¢.

Total

$5,300

Trades

2

Win Rate

22%

Wallet P&L

-$1,136

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 9¢

GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranLebanonIsraelIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Detected June 4, 2026 at 11:30 AM

New repeat whale buying YES | PolySpotter