Proven political cross-market bettor

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
A proven cross-market political bettor with 75% wins over 175 resolved trades is buying No on Steyer advancing, supported by a long history of similar event-level positioning.
Total
$1,250
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
-$14,297
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $62k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 27 events, 36 markets, and $144k traded.
- Buying No at 70¢ goes against today’s Yes rally, suggesting a deliberate contrarian view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected June 4, 2026 at 2:55 PM