Profitable serial cross-market bettor

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% long-term win rate is buying Yes despite recent market weakness.
Total
$3,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
-$14,297
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $62k lifetime.
- They have traded across 28 related events and 38 markets, with $148k in cross-market activity.
- They bought Yes at 71¢ after the market fell 11.5% in a day, suggesting conviction on the dip.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected June 4, 2026 at 3:16 PM