Smart Money Alert: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
A high-volume macro trader with an 82% win rate across 263 resolved bets is adding to a Fed thesis, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite the rich price.
Total
$8,163
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$430,316
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $587k across 263 resolved markets
- They have traded 202 markets across 130 related events, which suggests a repeatable macro process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Yes at 89¢ in a liquid Fed market, signaling confidence that rates stay unchanged into June 2026
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 89¢
Detected March 31, 2026 at 4:12 PM