Part of: Fed Decision in June?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,102.
Categories: Economic Policy, Jerome Powell, Fed Rates, Fed, Politics, Economy, fomc
Notable Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$3,360 | Wallet win rate: 0%
83% macro trader fades consensus
A proven high-win-rate macro trader sold the crowded 90% 'no change' side, which translates into a notable buy signal on 'Yes change' from a bettor with a strong cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $578k across 280 settled markets.
- They sold the 90¢ favorite, which is equivalent to buying 'Yes change' at about 10¢.
- This wallet has traded 202 related markets across 130 events, suggesting a repeatable macro trading edge.
$14,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
A high-volume macro trader with an 82% win rate across 263 resolved bets is adding to a Fed thesis, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite the rich price.
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $587k across 263 resolved markets
- They have traded 202 markets across 130 related events, which suggests a repeatable macro process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Yes at 89¢ in a liquid Fed market, signaling confidence that rates stay unchanged into June 2026
$8,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
An 82% win-rate macro trader with nearly $588k in profit is making a $15.5k cross-market bet on Fed rates, a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already trading rich.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $587k across 263 settled markets
- They've traded 202 markets across 130 events for nearly $4.9M total, which points to a repeatable macro trading edge
- The $15.5k buy was 170% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction even in a rate market near 87¢
$15,522 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40302938, $17,731,588
- 0x7072...3413 — Outcome 40302938, $1,800,000
- 0x5e71...ba82 — Outcome 40302938, $1,626,691
- 0x02e1...5bae — Outcome 40302938, $583,000
- 0x3e27...8fa8 — Outcome 40302938, $458,620
- 0xaf28...7f92 — Outcome 40302938, $400,099 (69% win rate)
- 0x371a...cc13 — Outcome 40302938, $333,333
- 0x495e...9a96 — Outcome 40302938, $310,000
- 0x2a21...fb6c — Outcome 40302938, $251,665 (42% win rate)
- 0x78e7...2c77 — Outcome 40302938, $238,950 (100% win rate)
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