Profitable serial political bettor
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes on Steve Hilton after a sharp odds drop, with related positioning across the California governor event.
Total
$1,065
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$979,503
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 893 resolved bets, 69% winners, and about $874K in lifetime profit.
- They regularly trade across related political markets, with 154 markets across 104 events and $1.23M in tracked cross-market volume.
- They bought Yes at 54¢ after the market fell sharply over the past week, suggesting a contrarian view that Hilton is now underpriced.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 54¢
Detected June 5, 2026 at 2:47 AM