Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0

Profitable serial macro trader

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is buying No on a relatively quiet geopolitical market with a bet that is meaningful versus 24h volume.

Total

$2,625

Trades

1

Win Rate

61%

Wallet P&L

+$350,630

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 86¢

GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranLebanonIsraelIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Detected June 7, 2026 at 7:56 AM

Profitable serial macro trader | PolySpotter