Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% resolved-bet win rate is fading the sharp move toward Yes by buying No.
Total
$1,357
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$161,884
Analysis
- This bettor has won 73% of 162 resolved bets and is up about $249K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 47 events with over $536K tracked in similar positioning.
- They bought No at 65¢ after Yes jumped 27 points, suggesting they are fading the recent strike-risk spike.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 65¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 11:16 AM