Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0
88% serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Surfaced because a highly experienced positive-P&L wallet with an 88% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a geopolitics market despite only moderate alert severity.
Total
$7,120
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$86,322
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 2,137 bets and is up $82.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 418 markets and $7.2M in tracked event volume.
- The $7.1K No buy is over half of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 11:59 AM