Proven bettor on quiet market

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Surfaced despite a low composite score because the buyer has a long positive track record and is putting fresh money into a quiet political market.
Total
$2,050
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$4,961
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 651 bets and is up about $5k lifetime.
- They bought $2.1k of No in a market with $0 reported 24h volume, suggesting a deliberate position rather than routine flow.
- Entry at 82¢ implies they see United Russia falling below 355 seats as highly likely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 12:49 PM