Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate and extensive cross-market history bought No on a geopolitics market despite recent Yes momentum.
Total
$1,527
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$835,890
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader across 54 events and $2.6M in flagged volume.
- Buying No at 76¢ goes against a recent Yes rally, suggesting a contrarian view that a strike remains unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected June 9, 2026 at 12:24 AM