Sharp serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sharp cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate and +$570k lifetime P&L bought No on an active geopolitical market.
Total
$1,169
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$842,850
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
- They have traded 155 markets across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Buying No at 78¢ goes against the recent Yes move, with Yes up 10.5 points today.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected June 9, 2026 at 12:38 AM