Smart Money Alert: US forces enter Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate joined a 17-wallet one-sided cluster buying No, adding coordinated conviction on a major geopolitics market.
Total
$3,448
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$231,321
Analysis
- 17 wallets put $250k on No, with 2 wallets sharing a funder and moving in the same direction
- This wallet wins 75% of resolved bets across 270 markets and has made $143k profit
- The trade came at 46¢ in a deep, active market, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random thin-market punt
Copy Trade
Buy No at 46¢
Detected April 2, 2026 at 12:45 AM