Profitable serial cross-market trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes on a geopolitically meaningful market with strong recent upward momentum.
Total
$1,040
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$223,932
Analysis
- This bettor is up $219K lifetime across 662 resolved markets.
- They have traded 255 markets across 158 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Selling No at 73¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 27¢, alongside a 13.5-point weekly price rise.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 27¢
Detected June 9, 2026 at 5:16 PM