Smart Money Alert: US forces enter Iran by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Four wallets put nearly $38k into Yes on a major geopolitics market, including two high-win-rate bettors and a brand-new wallet, signaling coordinated conviction despite the market already trading rich.
Total
$38,187
Trades
6
Analysis
- Four wallets bought the same side for $38k total, a strong one-way bet on a major geopolitical market.
- Two of the wallets have strong records: one wins 83% of 64 resolved bets and another wins 78% of 97.
- One wallet was created just 3 hours ago and still placed a $6k bet, adding fresh-money conviction to the cluster.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 66¢
Detected April 2, 2026 at 3:24 AM