Profitable wallet in thin market
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
A profitable wallet made a position-sized No bet in a very quiet Rio governor market, moving with the recent sharp collapse in Yes odds.
Total
$1,614
Trades
1
Win Rate
59%
Wallet P&L
+$39,243
Analysis
- This bettor is up about $39k lifetime and has made 112 resolved bets.
- Their $1.6k No buy was nearly 30x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet race.
- Yes odds have fallen sharply, and this trade entered No at 87¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected June 13, 2026 at 11:30 PM