New whale fading favorite

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large political bets and is adding a $6.4k No position as the market moves against the favorite.
Total
$6,391
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- This 6-day-old wallet has now been flagged 26 times with $71.5k in large bets.
- They are buying No at 28¢ while the favorite has fallen 12 points over the past week.
- The bet is meaningful but not market-moving, with $132.6k liquidity and a tight 1¢ spread.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 28¢
Detected June 14, 2026 at 9:14 AM