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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

A 4-day-old wallet has now triggered 13 large-bet alerts totaling about $55k, adding a small Yes position in a liquid geopolitics market despite no resolved track record yet.

Total

$1,000

Trades

1

Wallet P&L

+$4,777

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 8¢

GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranLebanonIsraelIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Detected June 16, 2026 at 2:48 PM

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