Profitable macro cluster buying No

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Three wallets are pushing the same No thesis after a 77.6x volume spike, led by a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate and $454k lifetime profit.
Total
$127,733
Trades
6
Analysis
- A bettor with 374 resolved trades wins 72% of the time and is up about $454k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $21.2k behind No, mostly by selling Yes around 80–81¢.
- Market activity spiked 77.6x while Yes fell 15 points in a day, matching the No-side flow.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 19¢
Detected June 29, 2026 at 9:01 AM