Profitable cross-market whale

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes amid a massive volume spike, sharp price move, and cross-market positioning on related contracts.
Total
$6,701
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$276,620
Analysis
- This bettor has won 71% of 437 resolved trades and is up about $264k lifetime.
- They bought $6.7k of Yes at 90¢ while also positioning across 3 related markets with $18.9k total exposure.
- The market saw a 620x volume spike and Yes jumped 56 points in a day, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected June 18, 2026 at 8:07 AM