Part of: Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,072.
Categories: Trump, Peace Deal, geopolitcs, Iran, U.S. x Iran, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes amid a massive volume spike, sharp price move, and cross-market positioning on related contracts.
- This bettor has won 71% of 437 resolved trades and is up about $264k lifetime.
- They bought $6.7k of Yes at 90¢ while also positioning across 3 related markets with $18.9k total exposure.
- The market saw a 620x volume spike and Yes jumped 56 points in a day, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.
$6,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
82% cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 48¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $752K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with $3.4M total deployed.
- They bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
$1,155 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
82% cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 48¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $752K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with $3.4M total deployed.
- They bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
$2,216 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Related Theses
Calendar arbitrage on talks
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Crude oil market arbitrage
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WTI stays between $90 and $105
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Hormuz blockade persists
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Iran peace deal won’t happen
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Iran closes airspace mid-May
Covers 8 related markets
Iran deal by mid-June
Covers 13 related markets
Iran blockade persists into 2027
Covers 10 related markets
