Part of: Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,072.
Categories: Trump, Peace Deal, geopolitcs, Iran, U.S. x Iran, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes amid a massive volume spike, sharp price move, and cross-market positioning on related contracts.
- This bettor has won 71% of 437 resolved trades and is up about $264k lifetime.
- They bought $6.7k of Yes at 90¢ while also positioning across 3 related markets with $18.9k total exposure.
- The market saw a 620x volume spike and Yes jumped 56 points in a day, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.
$6,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
82% cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 48¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $752K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with $3.4M total deployed.
- They bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
$1,155 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
82% cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 48¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $752K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with $3.4M total deployed.
- They bought Yes at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
$2,216 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
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