Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $732k lifetime profit bought Yes on a niche political market before a sharp move from 5–10¢ to 12¢.
Total
$3,013
Trades
2
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$853,776
Analysis
- This bettor has a long record across politics-style event markets, winning 58% of 188 resolved bets and earning $732k lifetime profit.
- They bought $3k of Yes at 5–10¢, and the market has already moved to 12¢ after the trade.
- This wallet has traded 121 related event markets across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable thesis-driven style.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 7¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 1:47 PM