Coordinated FlowScore: 23.5

Sharp cluster buying No

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.

Four wallets, including one with 921 resolved bets and a 73% win rate, are aligned on No around 9-11¢ in a major geopolitics market after a sharp weekly move, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching.

Total

$6,736

Trades

5

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 11¢

TrumpGeopoliticsIranMilitary StrikesMiddle East
View all alerts for US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Detected April 4, 2026 at 11:19 PM

Sharp cluster buying No | PolySpotter