99% win-rate bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A remarkably proven wallet with a 99% win rate and $13.1M profit is taking a fresh $8.9k position on a major geopolitics market at just 9¢.
Total
$8,940
Trades
1
Win Rate
99%
Wallet P&L
+$13,070,080
Analysis
- This bettor wins 99% of their resolved trades and is up $13.1M lifetime.
- They just bought Yes at 9¢ on a deep, liquid geopolitics market, so this looks like a real view rather than a thin-market punt.
- Entry at 9¢ implies they think the market is underpricing the chance of invasion by end of 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 9¢
Detected April 3, 2026 at 5:19 PM