Profitable cross-market whale

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying a long-shot Yes in a geopolitical market, with linked-wallet context and meaningful size versus recent volume.
Total
$3,747
Trades
2
Win Rate
58%
Wallet P&L
+$866,348
Analysis
- This bettor has made $1.19M lifetime profit across 1,395 resolved bets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $8.0M deployed across 120 events.
- They bought Yes around 12¢ on average, and the market has already moved to 17¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 12¢
Detected June 24, 2026 at 6:23 AM