Profitable serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with over $1M lifetime profit bought $8.5k of No in a relatively thin geopolitical market.
Total
$8,535
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$1,045,451
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.05M lifetime across 1,136 resolved markets.
- They have traded across 36 events and 54 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
- The $8.5k No buy was 58% of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful bet in a quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected June 24, 2026 at 10:44 AM