Profitable serial geopolitical bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a thin geopolitical market, taking meaningful size relative to daily volume and already getting favorable price movement.
Total
$2,036
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$62,280
Analysis
- This bettor has won 71% of 183 resolved trades and is up $43.5k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 30 events and 43 markets.
- The $1.2k No buy was large for this thin market and entered at 70¢ before No moved to 74¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected June 25, 2026 at 3:07 PM