Profitable serial macro bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% record made a large No buy in a relatively thin, wide-spread geopolitical market.
Total
$5,113
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$109,468
Analysis
- This bettor has won 71% of 347 resolved trades and is up $46.6K lifetime.
- The $5.1K No buy was larger than recent market activity and pushed into a thin order book.
- Entry at 33¢ is already slightly ahead of the current 36¢ price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 33¢
Detected June 26, 2026 at 10:41 AM