Profitable serial geopolitics trader
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Serial cross-market trader with a 71% resolved win rate and +$46.6k P&L bought No on a geopolitical market, with the trade large relative to recent volume.
Total
$2,874
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$109,468
Analysis
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $46.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 52 events and 70 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- The $2.9k No buy was large versus recent volume, and the market has already moved from 75¢ to 78¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 75¢
Detected June 26, 2026 at 11:38 AM