Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Yes after a dramatic repricing in a geopolitical market, with the position already moving from 10¢ to 14¢.
Total
$5,256
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$853,776
Analysis
- This bettor is up $727k lifetime and has traded 135 markets across 63 events.
- They bought Yes at 10¢ after the market collapsed from its prior 87–90¢ range.
- They have $8.4k positioned across three related markets in this event.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected June 30, 2026 at 10:10 AM