82% serial cross-market sharp

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
A highly proven 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader is reopening a No position on Republican House control despite only modest trade size.
Total
$2,237
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$53,461
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $53k lifetime across nearly 1,000 markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 113 events and $553k in tracked event-linked bets.
- Buying No at 83¢ implies they see Republican House control as less likely than the market’s 16–17% Yes price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 83¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 8:27 PM