Profitable serial event bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved win rate is buying No at 90¢ and has broader same-event positioning.
Total
$2,004
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$62,003
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $53.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 26 events and 40 markets.
- The $2.0k No buy is large versus this market’s $2.9k 24h volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 3:50 PM