Smart Money SignalScore: 8.0

Profitable serial event bettor

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% resolved win rate is buying No at 90¢ and has broader same-event positioning.

Total

$2,004

Trades

1

Win Rate

78%

Wallet P&L

+$62,003

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 90¢

GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranLebanonIsraelIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Detected July 3, 2026 at 3:50 PM

Profitable serial event bettor | PolySpotter