81% winner cross-market bet
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Surfacing because a highly experienced wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is taking a cross-market No position in a thin political election market.
Total
$1,015
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$4,219
Analysis
- This bettor has won 81% of 718 resolved bets and is up $8,040 lifetime.
- They are positioning across 2 related Russian election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The $1,015 No buy is meaningful in a market with only $1,536 traded in the past day.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 4:16 PM