Profitable macro sharp cluster

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Profitable 328-bet wallet with a 76% win rate bought Yes at 90¢, with clustering from a shared funder adding corroboration despite the market being highly liquid.
Total
$1,016
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$2,444
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades over 328 bets and is up $2.4K lifetime.
- Four wallets tied to the same funder have appeared in this cluster pattern before.
- The trade backs no Fed rate change at 90¢, matching a market that has moved up 9 points this week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected July 4, 2026 at 5:41 AM