Serial political cross-market bettor
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Experienced cross-market political bettor is adding to a No position on a very thin AZ-01 primary market while pairing it with another nominee bet.
Total
$3,860
Trades
2
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$40,153
Analysis
- This bettor has traded across 45 events and is up about $42.9K lifetime.
- The No buy was nearly 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- They paired this with another AZ-01 nominee bet, suggesting a broader primary thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected July 10, 2026 at 7:45 AM