28-wallet one-way flow

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Strong one-sided flow from 28 wallets plus a seasoned cross-market trader adding to an existing Yes position makes this Fed rates bet worth surfacing despite a highly liquid market.
Total
$20,761
Trades
2
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
-$171,482
Analysis
- 28 wallets are buying the same outcome, totaling $316K in Yes flow.
- This trader has bet across 112 events with a 76% resolved win rate and $1.49M in total volume.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position, now with about $32K already committed around 65¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 65¢
Detected July 14, 2026 at 6:54 AM