Smart Money SignalScore: 5.6

84% win-rate serial trader buys No

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and 170 resolved positions made a fresh $3,692 bet against Haley Stevens.

Total

$3,692

Trades

Win Rate

82%

Wallet P&L

+$1,083,255

Analysis

This bettor has won 84% of 170 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
They placed a fresh $3,692 No bet at 73¢, signaling strong conviction Haley Stevens will not win.
The wallet has traded across 45 events and 60 markets, providing a substantial record beyond this single position.

Copy Trade

Buy No at 73¢

Elections Politics US Election Primaries primary elections Democratic Primary Michigan Primary Senate Primary August 4 Primaries

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Detected July 20, 2026 at 6:16 PM