Sharp bettor scaling into No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate made a large No bet that dwarfs recent market volume in a thin, wide-spread market.
Total
$1,230
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$1,511,188
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of trades across 170 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
- The $1,230 No bet is roughly 30 times the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in this thin market.
- The wallet has traded across 48 events and 64 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 83¢
Detected July 23, 2026 at 10:29 AM