Smart Money SignalScore: 5.6
Proven million-dollar bettor buys No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor placed a large No position, though the simultaneous Yes purchase makes the overall trade direction less clean.
Total
$12,182
Trades
2
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,083,255
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of 171 resolved positions and is up $1.14 million lifetime.
- They bought $5,837 of No at 84¢, a meaningful position in a market with 16% Yes odds.
- A simultaneous $6,345 Yes purchase creates conflicting exposure, so the No thesis is less clear than the track record suggests.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
ElectionsPoliticsUS ElectionPrimariesprimary electionsDemocratic PrimaryMichigan PrimarySenate PrimaryAugust 4 Primaries
Detected July 30, 2026 at 1:10 AM