Profitable serial trader takes $34K position
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and $1.14M lifetime profit made a large $34,000 position in a relatively thin market, though the conflicting Yes and No trades make the signal less clean.
Total
$34,000
Trades
2
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$1,239,043
Analysis
- This bettor has won 84% of 173 resolved trades and is up $1.14 million lifetime.
- The trader deployed $34,000 in a market with only about $6,143 in 24-hour volume.
- The No position remains aligned with the current 84% market probability, while the simultaneous Yes trade makes the overall positioning unusually mixed.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 1:41 PM